China: Impossible to import due to US pressure: ASML semiconductor manufacturing equipment
-“Minimum 10 years” for self-development-
RAND Corporation:
“The PLA’s technological development capabilities are extremely low,” It said.
Specifically, the following three points are raised.
1) High-end chip manufacturing technology
2) Submarine muffling technology
3) Aircraft engine manufacturing technology
Among these, the delay in high-end chip manufacturing technology is obvious.
High-end chip manufacturing technology:
This is because it has a fatal defect that it cannot be manufactured without importing ASML manufacturing equipment.
The US government has pressured “Not to export to China for ASML in the Netherlands.”
WSJ:
On July 20th, an article titled “No” was posted on the export of Dutch semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China by the United States.
ASML export restrictions:
China wants to purchase ASML equipment (16.5 billion yen) for domestic manufacturers such as SMIC.
And we want to reduce the degree of dependence of Huawei on overseas.
However, ASML has not sent any of them so far.
The Netherlands, under pressure from the United States, has not issued an export license to China.
Domestic exposure equipment in China:
State-of-the-art semiconductor manufacturing is impossible with Chinese technology.
Therefore, I want to get ASML equipment anyway.
It will take at least 10 years for China to catch up with ASML’s technology.
China is a mimicking power:
Semiconductor is a technology born in the United States.
Therefore, China, a great power of imitation, cannot imitate.
Originally, China has not invested time and money in basic research.
China’s major weaknesses are brilliantly manifested.
Possibility of US-China War:
It will take at least 10 years for China to catch up with the United States.
It can be said that there has been no US-China war during this period.
“While technically inferior, wage war” is because it is a suicide act.
Soon, China’s economic growth will be lower than that of the United States.
It will be a phase of China’s loss of fighting spirit.
World view of Toshiyoshi Katsumata
http://hisayoshi-katsumata-worldview.com/archives/26952486.html