中國的弱點:日本的半導體技術是其最強武器

 中國的弱點:日本的半導體技術是其最強武器
1. 沒有日本的製造設備,中國無法生產半導體!
2. 日本的材料對於提高中國半導體的良率至關重要!
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作者:TokioX’press
半導體,極紫外光刻技術

[Part 1]: Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment Regulation: Japan vs. China:

What cards does Japan have in the fight against China’s aggressive attacks on Japan?

Japan’s strongest card against China is “semiconductor manufacturing equipment.”

1. U.S. Congressional Report: <Semiconductors and the CHIPS Act>: Congress.gov:

As of September 28, 2023, “Japan’s share of semiconductor manufacturing equipment is 35%,” giving it a near monopoly on certain manufacturing equipment.

 

2. US CSIS Report: <Japan Aims to Revitalize the Semiconductor Industry>

On August 25, 2023, the report predicted that “Japan will have a near-monopoly in the fields of semiconductor manufacturing equipment and semiconductor materials.”

Tokyo Electron (TEL):

– TEL has developed a dedicated EUV inline coater/developer, a “specialized device that simultaneously coats and prints.”

– TEL’s inline coater/developer holds a 100% share of the global EUV market.

1. EUV Lithography:

EUV lithography uses EUV light with a wavelength of 13.5nm. It is a cutting-edge exposure technology for creating semiconductor circuit patterns.

– Japan produces many of the EUV lithography equipment used in advanced-node chip manufacturing.

– This technology enables the creation of circuit patterns at 7nm and below, making it essential for the production of high-performance smartphones.

2. Chip Stacking:

Tokyo Electron aims to achieve “chip stacking on 300mm wafers.”

– This technology increases the density of semiconductor chips by stacking multiple chips.

– It enables the reduction of board mounting area, resulting in the miniaturization, high performance, and power savings of electronic devices.

Tokyo Electron’s Global Strategy:

Nanoscale Science and Engineering College (CNSE: Albany, NY)

– TEL has dispatched hundreds of employees to Japan and is conducting joint research and development with IBM.

– TEL invested $167 million in the construction of a new production facility in Japan in March 2023.

Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment Companies: Global Market Share Ranking (Quoted from CSIS):

1. Photomasks:
Japan’s JEOL and NuFlare Technology: 91% share of the global market for EUV lithography mask manufacturing.

2. Resist Processing:
Japan’s Tokyo Electron and SCREEN: 96% of the global market for resist processing equipment.

3. Wafer Crystal Processing:
Japan’s ACRETEC, Okimoto, Toyo, and Disco: 95% of the global market for wafer crystal processing equipment.

4. Wafer Handling Equipment:
Japan’s ROHSE, Daifuku, and Muratec: 88% of the global market for wafer handling equipment.

China’s Semiconductor Manufacturing: Manufacturing Equipment Import Share: Indian Media (Techovedas): October 14, 2025

What percentage of China’s semiconductor manufacturing equipment imports comes from Japan?

Is China’s declining imports of Japanese semiconductors a sign of Chinese independence?

1. In the first half of 2025, imports from Japan were $6.4 billion, while domestic Chinese production was $6.93 billion (49.99 billion RMB).

2. In the first half of 2025, domestic Chinese production already surpassed imports from Japan.

インドの半導体科学技術メディアTechovedasのデータを基にグラフは筆者作成

Figure 1: Trends in China’s Imports of Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment from Japan and Domestic Production

“Made in China 2025”: China’s High-Tech National Strategy:

If Japan were to play a checkmate against China, the sooner it did so, the greater the impact.

1. As Figure 1 shows, China is reducing imports from Japan and accelerating domestic growth.

2. Given China’s high dependence on Japan, Japan should quickly impose export restrictions on semiconductor manufacturing equipment.

[Part 2]: Japan’s Restrictions on Semiconductor Materials:

1. High-End Photoresists:

– Four companies: Shin-Etsu Chemical, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo, JSR, and Fujifilm Electronic Materials.
– Japanese companies account for 75% of global production of high-end photoresists for advanced chip manufacturing.

Japan has a de facto monopoly. Sumitomo Chemical has also newly entered the photoresist production market.

2. Japan’s Semiconductor Materials: 14 Key Materials:

– Japan has been the world’s largest semiconductor materials manufacturer for decades.
– Japan holds over 50% of the global market share for each of the 14 key materials essential to chip manufacturing.

3. Japan’s 3D Chip Packaging: 3D Stacking of Multiple Semiconductors:

– Japanese semiconductor material suppliers, including Nissan Chemical and Showa Denko.

– Nissan Chemical developed a new 3D packaging technology (a temporary adhesive) in 2024.

4. Japan’s Silicon Wafers: World’s Top Manufacturing Share:

– Two Japanese materials manufacturers, SUMCO and Shin-Etsu Chemical.

– They account for 60% of the global market share for silicon wafers, essential for chip manufacturing.

OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development): Wafer Market Ranking:

– Over 50% of the global silicon wafer market is supplied by two Japanese companies, Shin-Etsu Chemical and SUMCO.

Examples include Global Wafers (of Chinese Taipei) and Germany’s Siltronic.

China’s Import Dependence: China’s Wafer Self-Sufficiency Rate:

In other words, China’s wafer self-sufficiency rate is nearly 50%, while its import dependency is also 50%.

However, it should be noted that China has begun domestic production of photoresist, although it is still at the KrF photoresist stage.

[Part 3]: Japan’s Restrictions on High-Precision Machine Tools:

High-precision machine tools are one example of Japan’s last remaining card.

On February 25, 2025, the Financial Times reported, “China is struggling to master high-precision machine tools.”

– China has made progress in the fields of AI, renewable energy, semiconductors, and electric vehicles.

– However, it is struggling to develop cutting-edge (high-precision) machine tools, which are essential for manufacturing.

Japanese, European, and American companies are manufacturing high-end machine tools and supplying them to China.

https://news.yahoo.co.jp/expert/articles/c66548014d4069d45b11e5ced627b5b7094f9593